4
Titian
8yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 66
Haydock · EITC Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Carlisle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 11/10/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/10/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 12/06/2026 | 16th | 33/1 | 0% | 12% | +0.12 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |