3
Asgar
2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 75
Haydock · Everton In The Community Nursery · 7f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Newbury | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |