5
Girl Scout
2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 76
Haydock · Everton In The Community Nursery · 7f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Carlisle | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +31.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |