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Noble Prince

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 82

Haydock · Everton In The Community Nursery · 7f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt who showed fair form in a pair of 7f novice events and he found some improvement on softer ground than previously when second of 5 on nursery debut at Sandown (7f) 4 weeks ago, no match for winner but clear of remainder. Interesting with first-time cheekpieces enlisted upped to 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f3y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/0733 @ Doncaster 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 7f6y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0834 @ Sandown 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 81 · 7f GS 131 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 81 par29/084OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Sandown42nd2nd0
2026-08-15Doncaster32nd1st+1
2026-07-28Yarmouth34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0715/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +10.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
15/08/20262nd2/598%67%-0.31
29/08/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14