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6

Real Edition

2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 68

Haydock · Everton In The Community Nursery · 7f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Son of Calyx who took a big step forward from his debut with fourth of 12 in novice at Southwell (7f) in July. Never travelling well when well held at Beverley (7.3f) the following month, though, and he goes handicapping now having been gelded in what looks a warm race for the grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength63%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS22/0522 @ Southwell 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f14y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0724 @ Beverley 12/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f75y Goo 13012/084projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Beverley411th11th0
2026-07-27Southwell24th2nd+2
2026-05-22Pontefract27th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0527/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -40.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20267th16/116%25%+0.09
27/07/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
12/08/202611th7/282%9%-0.72