7

Grand Havana

2yo Colt · 9-2

Haydock · Ashlar Construction EBF Novice Stakes · 6f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Havana Grey colt. 40/1, very green when fifth of 6 in maiden at Ffos Las (7.4f, good to firm) on debut last month. Unlikely to make much appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f80y Gd 13312/083
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Ffos Las35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20