1
Great Oak
2yo Colt · 9-9
Haydock · Ashlar Construction EBF Novice Stakes · 6f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |