7
Anyasi
3yo Colt · 9-7 · OR 90
Haydock · Christopher Ward Watchmaking Handicap · 6f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Yarmouth | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Leicester | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -12.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 30/100 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 76% | -0.08 |