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3

Aurora Majesty

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 92

Haydock · Christopher Ward Watchmaking Handicap · 6f 212y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Travelled with zest/added to a fine course record when recording a fourth career success in a 0-90 Epsom handicap last time. Has proven effective away from that track and can't be judged too harshly on his previous runs off marks in the 90s.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 19/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 85 · 7f1y Std 133 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 85 par19/064OR 854 @ Epsom Downs 02/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 7f3y Goo 132 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 83 par2 @ Goodwood 02/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 88 · 7f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 88 par2/082OR 883 @ Epsom Downs 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 89 · 7f3y Goo 129 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 89 par3 @ Leicester 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 92 · 7f Goo 138 · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 92 par14/103OR 922 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 91 · 7f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 91 par3 @ Thirsk 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 89 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 89 par1/083OR 893 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 88 · 7f14y Std 131 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 88 par3 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 7f3y GS 138 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 88 par31/083OR 88projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Epsom Downs31st1st0
2026-08-16Southwell33rd3rd0
2026-08-01Thirsk37th7th0
2026-06-05Epsom Downs216th15th+1
2025-10-14Leicester312th12th0
2025-08-25Epsom Downs32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0625/081/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20256th8/158%44%-0.13
02/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
02/08/20253rd22/10%87%+0.87
25/08/20252nd5/174%88%+0.14
14/10/202512th5/174%21%-0.52
05/06/202616th18/15%0%-0.05
01/08/20267th25/10%57%+0.57
16/08/20263rd18/15%83%+0.78
31/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18