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Bobby Bennu

5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 94

Haydock · Christopher Ward Watchmaking Handicap · 6f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finished ½-length second off 2 lb higher mark last summer. Had looked at the top of his game prior to underperforming at Glorious Goodwood and lost all chance at the start in York handicap subsequently. Weighted to be thereabouts if handling conditions (only raced on good/good to firm).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Chester 31/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 97 · 7f1y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 97 par31/052OR 972 @ Haydock 05/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 96 · 7f37y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 96 par2 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 97 · 7f1y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2025 · OR 97 par3/082OR 972 @ Ascot 06/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 96 · 7f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 96 par2 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 20 · OR 95 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 95 par18/102OR 952 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 93 · 7f1y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 92 · 7f14y Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 92 par27/062OR 923 @ Goodwood 29/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 20 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 95 par3 @ York 06/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 94 · 7f GS 141 · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 94 par6/093OR 94projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06York315th15th0
2026-07-29Goodwood312th12th0
2026-06-27Newcastle22nd1st+1
2026-05-30Chester24th3rd+1
2025-10-18Ascot215th14th+1
2025-09-06Ascot25th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/056/0927/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20258th9/276%42%-0.35
05/07/20252nd8/158%90%+0.32
03/08/20255th2/189%33%-0.56
06/09/20255th18/15%79%+0.74
18/10/202515th22/10%26%+0.26
30/05/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
27/06/20262nd3/184%92%+0.08
29/07/202612th11/271%42%-0.29
06/09/202615th9/153%0%-0.53