2

Asia Force

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 88

Haydock · By Eck Its Boddingtons Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved on the back of a gelding operation when dominant winner of 6-runner handicap at Carlisle (1¾m) last month and took form up a notch from 6 lb higher when following up in 8-runner handicap over C&D (soft) just under 3 weeks ago, digging deep. Respected in hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m2f42y Std 1339/0133 @ Southwell 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 1m3f23y Std 1335/0233 @ Pontefract 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f5y Goo 12529/0434 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 78 · 1m2f70y GS 128 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 78 par12/064OR 784 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 1m4f8y Goo 134 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 78 par1/074OR 784 @ Carlisle 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 1m6f32y Goo 128 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 77 par11/084OR 772 @ Haydock 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 83 · 1m6f Hvy 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 83 par5/092OR 83projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Haydock21st0th+1
2026-08-11Carlisle41st2nd−1
2026-07-01Thirsk44th5th−1
2026-06-12Chester43rd4th−1
2026-04-29Pontefract32nd2nd0
2026-02-05Southwell32nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0112/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20262nd8/1397%67%-0.30
05/02/20262nd7/491%67%-0.24
29/04/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17
12/06/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17
01/07/20264th11/486%25%-0.61
11/08/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
05/09/20261st13/266%100%+0.34