1
My Ballyquinn
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 89
Haydock · By Eck Its Boddingtons Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | York | 2 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |