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8yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 69
Haydock · Turf Services Handicap · 1m 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Haydock | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-13 | York | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 11/10/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 13/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |