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9

Good Onya Mate

4yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 62

Haydock · Turf Services Handicap · 1m 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who was sold cheaply from Henry de Bromhead's stable after hurdle debut in July but has run a couple of respectable races back on the Flat for new yard, including third over this trip at Catterick last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength3%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13424/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m Std 135BHA70 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 70 · 1m4f183y Goo 130 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 70 par8/0570OR 70BHA65 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 65 · 1m5f170y Goo 137 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 65 parBHA67 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 67 · 2m1f Yie 137 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 67 par10/0667OR 67C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 1615 @ Yarmouth 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 67 · 1m3f104y GF 127 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 67 par14/085OR 676 @ Ffos Las 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 65 · 2m Gd 142 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 64 · 1m5f192y Goo 156 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 64 par8/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Catterick63rd4th−1
2026-08-27Ffos Las64th5th−1
2026-08-14Yarmouth54th4th0
2026-07-10Cork?5th9th−3
2026-06-10LimerickBHA6713th15th−2
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA652nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1020/0514/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20255th40/10%69%+0.69
27/03/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
08/05/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
20/05/20262nd40/10%92%+0.92
10/06/202613th22/10%8%+0.08
10/07/20265th4/179%69%-0.10
14/08/20264th14/126%0%-0.26
27/08/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
08/09/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60