Kalea Bay
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Golden State Racing | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2024-11-18 | Del Mar | ? | 5th | -2th | +6 |
| 2024-09-28 | Santa Anita | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Del Mar | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 01/09/2024 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 28/09/2024 | 1st | 2/9 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 18/11/2024 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/12/2024 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |