Mo's Glitter

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 79

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.8

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Delaware Park	?	5th	3rd	+2	6.8
2026-08-07	Colonial Downs	?	8th	6th	+2	3.8
2026-07-23	Colonial Downs	?	4th	6th	−2	3.6
2026-06-05	Laurel Park	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2025-10-11	Laurel Park	?	2nd	0th	+2	5.0
2025-09-06	Laurel Park	?	1st	0th	+1	9.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
06/09/2025	1st	5/1	74%	100%	+0.26
11/10/2025	2nd	14/1	26%	92%	+0.65
05/06/2026	6th	9/2	76%	0%	-0.76
23/07/2026	4th	9/2	76%	40%	-0.36
07/08/2026	8th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
29/08/2026	5th	8/1	58%	43%	-0.15