3
Sohandsometome
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 93
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |