Upshot
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |