4
Boys Go To Jupiter
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 80
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength7%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 25/07/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |