5

Diamond N Dress

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 119 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 57 par26/12C8OR 57C8 @ Laurel Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Laurel Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 59 par20/02C8OR 59C8 @ Laurel Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 61 · 1m 124 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 61 parC6 @ Laurel Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 66 · 1m110y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 66 par3/04C6OR 66C5 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 70 parC6 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 62 par10/05C6OR 62C6 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 71 parC7 @ Delaware Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m70y 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 79 par7/08C7OR 79projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2026-07-19Colonial Downs?7th5th+2
2026-05-10Laurel Park?5th3rd+2
2026-04-18Laurel Park?7th3rd+3
2026-04-03Laurel Park?1st-1th+2
2026-03-13Laurel Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1213/0310/057/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
16/01/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
20/02/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
13/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/04/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
18/04/20267th40/10%14%+0.14
10/05/20265th9/153%20%-0.33
19/07/20267th50/10%14%+0.14
07/08/20265th11/271%20%-0.51