
Endless Vow
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 75
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 23/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |