2

Endless Vow

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 75

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 61 par31/07C9OR 61C9 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 65 · 1m1f 118 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 65 parC9 @ Laurel Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m Fm 12227/09C9C7 @ Laurel Park 17/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m1f Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 73 parC7 @ Laurel Park 23/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 75 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 75 par23/11C7OR 75C8 @ Turfway Park 27/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Fas 125 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Laurel Park 17/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fm 126 · beat its mark17/04/2026 · OR 59 par17/04C8OR 59C8 @ Laurel Park 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 68 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Laurel Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 69 · 1m1f Fm 122 · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 69 par19/06C8OR 69projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19Laurel Park?1st1st0
2026-05-08Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-04-17Laurel Park?4th4th0
2026-02-27Turfway Park?10th10th0
2025-11-23Laurel Park?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-17Laurel Park?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0717/1017/0419/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength80%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20256th9/276%55%-0.22
30/08/20253rd10/382%71%-0.11
27/09/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
17/10/20258th15/261%36%-0.24
23/11/20253rd3/184%82%-0.02
27/02/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
17/04/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
08/05/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
19/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16