8

Honor Our Country

3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 10/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 7f Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 70 parC6 @ Laurel Park 10/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 68 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 68 par10/10C6OR 68C9 @ Laurel Park 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark07/12/2025 · OR 62 parC6 @ Laurel Park 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 64 par10/01C6OR 64C6 @ Laurel Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m110y 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Laurel Park 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 68 · 1m 121 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 68 par13/03C8OR 68C7 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 77 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 75 par9/07C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Colonial Downs?8th8th0
2026-06-18Delaware Park?2nd1st+1
2026-03-13Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-14Laurel Park?4th2nd+2
2026-01-10Laurel Park?3rd1st+2
2025-12-07Laurel Park?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/077/1213/039/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20258th13/266%30%-0.36
10/09/20253rd6/168%67%-0.02
10/10/202510th12/137%18%-0.19
07/12/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
10/01/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
14/02/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
13/03/20262nd6/594%80%-0.14
18/06/20262nd6/492%80%-0.12
09/07/20268th11/271%0%-0.71