12

Kobe's Hope

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 78

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 15/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 40 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 40 par15/06C9OR 40C9 @ Laurel Park 22/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 52 · 5f110y Fm 119 · beat its mark22/06/2025 · OR 52 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 13/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 60 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 60 par13/08C9OR 60C6 @ Colonial Downs 27/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2025 · OR 48 parC9 @ Laurel Park 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 12226/09C9C7 @ Laurel Park 05/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 72 parC5 @ Laurel Park 01/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 78 par1/11C5OR 78C7 @ Laurel Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 84 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 80 par30/08C7OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Colonial Downs?6th5th+1
2025-11-15Laurel Park?4th3rd+1
2025-11-01Laurel Park?5th2nd+3
2025-10-05Laurel Park?1st0th+1
2025-09-26Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2025-08-27Colonial Downs?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0627/081/1130/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength54%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20252nd16/116%89%+0.73
22/06/20254th5/174%63%-0.11
13/08/20255th16/116%60%+0.44
27/08/20258th50/10%22%+0.22
26/09/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
05/10/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
01/11/20255th6/168%33%-0.35
15/11/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
30/08/20266th25/10%44%+0.44