Linarite
7yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 80
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 24/05/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 16/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |