
Minari
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 20/02/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/04/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 06/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/07/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |