3

Minari

6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 81

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 29/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/11/2024 · OR 75 par29/11C8OR 75C8 @ Gulfstream 20/02/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark20/02/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Laurel Park 18/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 126 · below its mark18/04/2025 · OR 75 par18/04C8OR 75C7 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 26/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 80 par26/07C8OR 80C8 @ Laurel Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 82 par28/06C5OR 82C8 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Delaware Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m70y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 84 par1/08C7OR 84projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-01Delaware Park?7th6th+1
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-28Laurel Park?4th1st+3
2026-05-02Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-07-26Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2025-06-06Laurel Park?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/116/0628/061/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/20246th12/137%29%-0.08
20/02/20255th20/10%43%+0.43
18/04/20254th7/282%63%-0.19
06/06/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
26/07/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
02/05/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
28/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
11/07/20262nd15/890%88%-0.03
01/08/20267th6/168%33%-0.35