Pretty Lavish
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Saratoga | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-03-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 24/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 82% | -0.01 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |