4
Byway
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
59%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |