6
Sin Boldly
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -19.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |