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5

Whiskey Lullaby

7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 81

Laurel Park · Race 5 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Keeneland 11/10/2023 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 71 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark11/10/2023 · OR 71 par11/10C5OR 71C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 17/11/2023 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y Slo 122 · below its mark17/11/2023 · OR 88 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 18/02/2024 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 122 · below its mark18/02/2024 · OR 87 par18/02C5OR 87C7 @ Penn National 24/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 5f Yie 123 · below its mark24/07/2025 · OR 75 parC7 @ Penn National 14/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 69 par14/08C7OR 69C7 @ Penn National 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Penn National 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 5f Fm 123 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 74 par23/07C5OR 74C5 @ Penn National 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 79 · 5f Fm 121 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Penn National 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 83 par26/08C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Penn National?4th4th0
2026-08-18Penn National?3rd3rd0
2026-07-23Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-06-18Penn National?1st3rd−2
2025-08-14Penn National?1st3rd−2
2025-07-24Penn National?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1024/0723/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/10/20237th10/147%40%-0.07
17/11/20233rd5/287%67%-0.20
18/02/202412th20/10%0%0.00
24/07/20253rd11/271%67%-0.04
14/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
18/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
23/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
18/08/20263rd10/1195%71%-0.24
26/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05