8
Alexis Zorba
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 09/10/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 22% | -0.25 |
| 15/05/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |