Amoudi Bay
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 19/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/01/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |