5
Bushido
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 96
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 25% | -0.65 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |