Cactus
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 91% | -0.06 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |