Fierce And Strong
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-29 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 8/15 | 97% | 40% | -0.57 |
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 29/05/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 33% | -0.58 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |