Fore Harp
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 22% | -0.51 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |