13

Gold Trust

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 92

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#11

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Monmouth Park 27/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 88 · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2025 · OR 88 par27/06C5OR 88C0 @ Monmouth Park 06/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m Fm 117C6 @ Monmouth Park 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 93 par23/08C6OR 93C0 @ Monmouth Park 14/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f 123C6 @ Laurel Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 103 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 103 par1/05C6OR 103C6 @ Saratoga 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 95 parC0 @ Monmouth Park 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fm 11812/07C?C6 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 93 · 6f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 93 parC6 @ Monmouth Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 93 · 1m110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 93 par29/08C6OR 93projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Monmouth Park?1st0th+1
2026-08-09Colonial Downs?7th6th+1
2026-07-12Monmouth Park?4th4th0
2026-06-05Saratoga?10th9th+1
2026-05-01Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2025-09-14Monmouth Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0614/0912/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
06/07/20254th9/153%50%-0.03
23/08/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
14/09/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
01/05/20267th12/137%25%-0.12
05/06/202610th20/10%18%+0.18
12/07/20264th2/189%63%-0.27
09/08/20267th11/271%25%-0.46
29/08/20261st11/893%100%+0.07