Green Beans
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 21/11/2025 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |