3
Jungle Glow
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |