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9

Brindano

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Laurel Park 20/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f 126 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 78 par20/03C7OR 78C7 @ Laurel Park 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 85 · 1m 126 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 85 parC5 @ Laurel Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 83 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 83 par19/04C5OR 83C5 @ Laurel Park 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 91 · 1m110y Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/05/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Laurel Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 88 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 88 par20/06C7OR 88C5 @ Penn National 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 91 · 1m70y 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Penn National 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m70y Fas 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 87 par1/08C6OR 87C6 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 86 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Delaware Park 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 87 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 87 par5/09C7OR 87projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?5th4th+1
2026-08-01Penn National?6th5th+1
2026-07-08Penn National?1st-1th+2
2026-06-20Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Laurel Park?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0322/051/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20262nd8/158%80%+0.22
27/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
19/04/20263rd25/10%60%+0.60
22/05/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09
20/06/20263rd2/189%50%-0.39
08/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
01/08/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
14/08/20265th14/126%0%-0.26
05/09/20265th14/126%33%+0.07