3

Crossland

7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 94

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 98 par1/03C6OR 98C6 @ Laurel Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 100 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 98 par11/04C6OR 98C6 @ Laurel Park 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 99 · 1m110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 99 parC6 @ Laurel Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 100 · 1m1f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 100 par30/05C6OR 100C6 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 100 · 1m110y Slo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 02/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 99 · 1m Yie 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 99 par2/08C6OR 99C6 @ Colonial Downs 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 106 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 106 parC6 @ Colonial Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/09/2026 · OR 104 par6/09C6OR 104projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Colonial Downs?7th6th+1
2026-08-20Colonial Downs?5th4th+1
2026-08-02Colonial Downs?6th5th+1
2026-06-28Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2026-05-30Laurel Park?4th3rd+1
2026-05-02Laurel Park?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/032/052/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/03/20263rd20/10%67%+0.67
21/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
11/04/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
02/05/20268th25/10%0%0.00
30/05/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
28/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00
02/08/20266th40/10%0%0.00
20/08/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
06/09/20267th25/10%0%0.00