Lure Him In
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 99
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |