2
Next Level
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 103
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Ratings Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fair Grounds | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 09/05/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 06/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |