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Confidence Within

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Jet Away gelding. Brother to fairly useful hurdler/chase winner Reallyntruthfully. Third sole start in points. Looked a useful prospect when off the mark in a Kilbeggan bumper last month, going with enthusiasm/winning easily. Entitled to be in the mix if translating that form to hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m Gd 1688/08C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Kilbeggan?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53