14

Down After Dark

4yo Gelding · 11-10

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#14

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed nothing prior to unseating on debut and did no better at Kilbeggan (200/1) subsequently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 1563/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?9th9th0
2026-08-28Wexford?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20269th200/10%20%+0.20