3

Farney Bridge

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair winner (33/1) at Killarney on second of 3 starts in bumper this summer. Hard to be confident he'll find the required improvement sent hurdling, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1686/06C?C0 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16816/07C?C0 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 16822/08C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?4th4th0
2026-07-16Killarney?1st1st0
2026-06-06Punchestown?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0616/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%

Delivery trend -12.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/202612th50/10%35%+0.35
16/07/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
22/08/20264th9/153%63%+0.10