6

Ladbroke Grove

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

From a winning French family. Showed plenty when 18 lengths third in a Punchestown bumper that has worked out well last May. Type to win races somewhere along the way and Mark Walsh a positive jockey booking on return/hurdling debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Punchestown 03/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 20 · OR - · 2m Yie 1623/05C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-03Punchestown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20253rd18/15%89%+0.84