7
Man Down
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#12
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/09/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |