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16

Midtown Manhattan

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#9

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Bred to stay well. Cost a pretty penny following 6½ lengths success on sole start in points. Hooded/too free to justify support in maiden hurdle at Ballinrobe (2¾m) in May. Drop back in trip (without hood) may well help and he's entitled to better for top yard. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 25/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m6f100y Goo 15825/05C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-25Ballinrobe?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20269th16/583%43%-0.40