8

Minnatrix

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort. Hasn't built on his debut second in a bumper at Roscommon last autumn. One for handicaps following this run.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f135y Goo 16829/09C?C0 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m195y Gd 1683/07C?C8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15821/07C8C8 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR - · 2m160y Yie 1667/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Galway?11th11th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?9th9th0
2026-07-03Wexford?8th8th0
2026-06-01Listowel?0
2026-05-11Killarney?+1
2025-09-29Roscommon?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/093/0721/077/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
03/07/20268th11/142%30%-0.12
21/07/20269th40/10%33%+0.33
07/09/202611th66/10%47%+0.47