Reaching High
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · John J. Galvin Maiden Hurdle · 2m 2f 125y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/7
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 20th | 13th | +6 |
| 2025-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 9th | 2nd | +6 |
| 2025-05-16 | Leopardstown | BHA92 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-08-24 | York | 2 | 15th | 8th | +6 |
| 2024-08-01 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 1st | -5th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 04/06/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 24/06/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 01/08/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/08/2024 | 15th | 6/1 | 68% | 7% | -0.62 |
| 16/05/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 17/06/2025 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.28 |
| 16/06/2026 | 20th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 93% | +0.03 |